Well, well, well. Look who finally came crawling to the
big-boy table. Wednesday’s announcement that Notre Dame would partially join
the ACC was, without question, the biggest news of the week. The Fighting Irish
will now play five games per year in the ACC with seven independent, but that
plan is fooling nobody. Eventually, ND will be a full member.
The news was a huge blow to the Big East, which undoubtedly
hoped to retain Notre Dame as a flagship university in football (the Irish
currently play all other sports there) to resuscitate its on-lifeline long-term
prospects. After the ACC’s grab last season for Pittsburgh
and Syracuse , I
assumed this would happen – my blog from that week is now eerily prescient – so
it can’t have taken the conference completely by surprise. But that doesn’t
mean it isn’t devastating. I can’t see any scenario now where the Big East can
survive longer than the first few years of the playoff. What school serious
about competing for a championship would want to play there?
In other news, there was almost no news. For the first time
in 32 weeks there was a total of zero ranked-versus-ranked matchups, a barren
slate even less appetizing than week one’s meager fare. The idea of a playoff is wonderful, but if schedules like this are the result... I'm not sure it will be worth it. Everyone assumed a postseason selection committee would force teams to give up games against cupcakes, but what if it has the opposite effect? The early-season returns this year have been pitiful. Very few schools have taken the initiative to schedule real opponents in non-conference play. I hope this isn't where the sport is headed.
To be honest, this
week’s schedule doesn’t impress much either. Alabama
plays at Arkansas ,
but given what just happened to the Razorbacks (Huzzah for Louisiana-Monroe!) I
don’t have much hope for that one. There is the intriguing Florida-Tennessee
matchup, but that rivalry is a lot more fun when both teams are near the top of
the polls rather than the bottom. USC also plays at Stanford – I’d be surprised
if the Cardinal made a game of it – and, in the most important game of the
weekend, Notre Dame goes to Michigan
State .
Why is this game so important? For one, Notre Dame could
threaten for a BCS berth this year. While the Irish didn’t look the part last
week against Purdue, they still boast an undefeated record and their
once-daunting schedule might not turn out to be quite as brutal as it initially
appeared. If they can get by the Spartans – a perennial thorn in their side –
it will go a long way toward locking up a lucrative bowl bid. Michigan State ,
on the other hand, is the Big 10’s lone unbeaten squad after just two weeks.
Any title hopes the conference had now rest on the Spartans. No pressure.
The only truly noteworthy result from last week was the
performance of the Pac-12 and Big 10 on the national stage. In three visits out
west, the League of Legends and Leaders went a crushing 0-3, watching ranked
powerhouses Wisconsin and Nebraska
go down along with Illinois at Oregon State ,
UCLA and Arizona State , respectively. It was a stunning
and embarrassing finish for the storied conference, yet where the Big 10 saw
infamy, the Pac-12 flourished. Bouncing back from ugly losses by its newcomers Colorado (FCS-level
Sacramento State )
and Utah (Utah
State ), the Conference of Champions
dropped all three of its Rose Bowl bedfellows and then finished the night off
with Arizona ’s second-half evisceration of Oklahoma State . Needless to say, it was the
Pac-12’s best Saturday in a long time.
Top 25
Many ranked teams have still failed to face any sort of
reasonable challenge, which makes picking a top 25 extremely difficult. Going
against my instincts, though, I’m going to release a (very) tentative list this
week, with the caveat that it may change dramatically as soon as my next post.
As such, I’ll only give a short description of my thoughts.
1) Alabama
Have shown enough through two weeks to be the undisputed
number one.
2) LSU
Runner-up last year, runner-up this year? Possibly.
3) USC
Unimpressive against Syracuse ,
but fewer question marks than Oregon .
4) Oregon
Explosiveness is undeniable but injuries are now a big
concern.
5) Oklahoma
Looked better against Florida
A&M… but who wouldn’t?
6) Florida
State
Game against Savannah
State called early. Still
haven’t learned anything about this team.
7) West Virginia
Idle in week two, but I’ll ride the buzz from their opening
win a little longer.
8) Georgia
Closed nicely in Columbia ,
but Mizzou isn’t top-25 material.
9) Michigan
State
Spartans have one of the few good wins to date, even if they
were lucky not to fumble it away.
10) Ohio
State
So far looking like the class of the Leaders division,
though ineligible for postseason.
11) Clemson
Have looked powerful thus far, even without WR Sammy
Watkins.
12) South Carolina
Close win in opener said a lot more than blowout over patsy.
Vandy is better than ECU.
13) Kansas
State
Might be really, really good, but we don’t know how bad
Miami (FL) is yet.
14) TCU
With only one game, hard to judge. Horned Frogs’ reputation
carries enough weight for a ranking, though.
15) Texas
I’m not blown away by what I’ve seen, but this week’s game
at Ole Miss might clear things up.
16) Virginia Tech
I’m very confident these guys are frauds. Any struggles with
Pitt and we’ll know.
17) Michigan
Wolverines lucky to not be 0-2, but I doubt they’d lose to
anybody below them.
18) Notre Dame
Fantastic against Navy, so-so against Purdue. MSU game is
absolutely huge.
19) Louisville
If the Cards don’t put on a show against North Carolina , the Big East is in trouble.
20) Stanford
A much better performance than the opener, though I’m still
not convinced.
21) UCLA
This feels like a bit of an overreaction… but I’m intrigued
to see what these Bruins can do.
22) Arizona
Once again, could be premature, but they were just so good
against Okie State .
23) Nebraska
To be honest, they’ve looked better than Michigan . But Alabama > UCLA, so tough luck.
24) Boise
State
Opening loss shouldn’t really count against them; Broncos
will roll through Mountain West.
25) Florida/Tennessee
The winner this weekend will be deserving of a spot in the
rankings.
Pac-12 Thoughts
From Friday evening through Saturday afternoon, the Pac-12
couldn’t have fared much worse. On Friday night QB Jordan Wynn went down
against Utah State
and took Utah ’s
season with him. Cal and Wazzu looked average against FCS teams, Colorado actually lost to Sac
State and both Oregon and USC wrapped up unimpressive
victories. It appeared to be a very disappointing weekend. Then the Oregon
State-Wisconsin game went final and everything went crazy. UCLA took down Nebraska in dramatic
fashion. ASU hammered visiting Illinois .
Arizona dropped 59 on Oklahoma State .
As I said before, it was pretty stunning. It was also a major boost to a
conference that desperately needed one.
Despite Stanford’s success over the past few seasons, the
Pac-12 has mainly had a lone banner-carrier since 2008. Oregon dominated the league, going 25-2 in
three seasons. While the Rose Bowl win last year was nice, it didn’t provide
the total validation the conference needed in the absence of major
non-conference wins (UO over Tennessee
in 2010 doesn’t count). Last Saturday changed all that: the Big 10 can say
nothing to the Pac-12 for at least one year, national respect shot through the
roof and the polls reflect it.
Of course, playing at this level for the rest of season
would also be helpful, starting with Cal at Ohio State
this weekend (not a chance). But regardless of the outcome of that game, the
damage has been done. This was particularly crucial because of how vulnerable
USC and Oregon
looked this week.
The Ducks’ injury concerns have now reached critical, with
senior stars Carson York and John Boyett for the season and Josh Huff sidelined
again. On top of that, UO has played terribly inconsistent so far in 2012,
outscoring opponents 85-6 early before getting beat 53-14. USC wasn’t great
against Syracuse
at the Meadowlands, either, holding just a five-point lead in the fourth
quarter and sinking to even more ludicrous depths to pad Matt Barkley’s stats
(187 yards, six touchdowns? Please). While I would still pick them both to
represent their divisions in the conference championship, they could both
actually lose a game.
That’s because both divisions suddenly look to have
challengers who can truly, well, challenge the Ducks and Trojans. OSU might
have thrown off two years of frustration with that win over the Badgers.
Stanford looked much better in game two of the post-Luck era. Arizona can apparently score with anybody.
Even UCLA, who can generally be relied on to faceplant, scored a big upset. Could the Bruins actually pose a threat to the league's elite? Look out. The Pac-12 just got very interesting.
Random Thoughts and Observations
A lot was made this week of the alleged “evils” of both Oklahoma State
and Florida State
scheduling hapless FCS foe Savannah
State early in the
season. Savannah State has just four wins over other FCS
teams in the past seven seasons, so the media focus was on how unethical it was
for these FBS powerhouses to pay a inferior foe to show up and get annihilated.
My reaction was, “Who cares?” Savannah
State wanted the money.
They scheduled the games, they weren’t forced into it. If that’s how the program
wants to make money, they have every right to do so. OSU and FSU shouldn’t be
ashamed for doing the same thing as most FBS teams in the country.
In the ridiculous news of the week, I present: pass-happy
offenses! Arkansas ’ home loss to Louisiana-Monroe
was stunning, but the forgotten statistic in the upset was QB Kolton Browning’s
67 pass attempts (he completed 42) that carved up the Arkansas defense. Of course, that was
nothing compared to the Houston Cougars, who let new QB David Piland toss the rock
an astounding 77 times in their loss to Louisiana Tech. Piland completed 53
attempts for 580 yards. Good god. The NCAA record is 83, by Drew Brees in 1998.
If the Heisman were given out after week one, I opined, it
would have gone to West Virginia QB Geno Smith. After week two, it would
probably go to UCLA RB Jonathan Franklin, who leads the nation in rushing and
has an upset of a ranked team to his name. Obviously this will change as the
season progresses, but for now Franklin
has been the best player in the country.
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