At least we’ll always have 7-0, Missouri. The Tigers have suffered some tough losses in their history, but Saturday's came in the cruelest fashion imaginable, as their championship
dreams were dashed by a single gut-wrenching “THUNK” against the left upright. The
27-24 loss to South Carolina, combined with Texas Tech’s thrilling loss to
Oklahoma, managed to keep the weekend respectably watchable, but it was close.
There were a whole lot of awful games played Saturday, lowlighted by Duke and
Virginia Tech’s eight-interception slog to infamy. Take a cue from The
Simpsons: burn that game tape.
There was some early drama when Miami (FL) looked likely to
fall, but the Hurricanes scraped out another close win just in time to get
plastered by Florida State next week. Duke’s upset was more embarrassing than
exciting. UCLA hung around at Oregon but was clearly outmatched. All of the
other top contenders dismissed chances of an upset quite early, contributing to the
overall dull day. Two late games – Stanford at Oregon State and Fresno State at
San Diego State – were good, but in both the higher-ranked team eventually
prevailed. The best contest of the week might have been Thursday, when Middle
Tennessee topped Marshall 51-49 on a touchdown pass as time expired.
Just because there was little excitement doesn’t mean
questions weren’t answered, though. Texas Tech faced its best opponent of the
year and lost – but actually won over more people with a strong showing in
Norman. Nebraska wilted on the road at Minnesota, demonstrating that the Big
Ten really isn’t that good. We all know by now what happened to Mizzou, who was
shown to be exactly what most people thought they were – good but not elite.
And Virginia Tech… well, the Hokies proved once again that while defense wins
championships, you need to field a semi-competent offense to win games.
A number of question marks surrounding lesser teams also saw
some resolution. For example: the important issue of Boise State’s competence.
How good were the Broncos? As BYU showed Friday night, not very. What about
Northwestern, whose quality on which Ohio State and Wisconsin both heavily rely? The
Wildcats lost their fourth straight after starting 4-0. Michigan State’s
awesome defensive numbers faced a road test at Illinois – and somehow came away
looking even better after allowing a mere 128 yards. Finally, how would Oregon
State’s Sean Mannion look after lighting up every defense he’d seen to this
point? Stanford made him decidedly more ordinary.
Next week: it doesn’t get much better from a matchup
perspective. There’s a VERY interesting Thursday contest between Arizona State
and Wazzu (more on that in a bit) and a decent USC – Oregon State game Friday.
After that, we’ve got a neutered World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party (or
whatever the politically correct name for Florida – Georgia is these days), the
Navy – Notre Dame “rivalry,” the Disappointment Bowl (Northwestern at Nebraska)
and a couple of really horrendous Big 12 games. There is some potential with
two ranked teams in Michigan – Michigan State, but the only great matchup is
Oklahoma State – Texas Tech. Let’s be honest, no one expects Miami (FL) at
Florida State to be close.
Top 25
It was slightly easier – though still difficult – to rank
everyone after a couple new upsets knocked some teams out completely and
devalued several schedules. The rotating battle for the top spot between
Alabama, Oregon and Florida State continues, while Ohio State put forth its
first truly impressive effort of the season to close the gap a little. After
that, it gets trickier. Read on for the rest of the rankings.
1) Florida State
Virginia Tech’s loss hurt Alabama, but the Crimson Tide
actually inched closer to the Seminoles this week thanks to Clemson’s shaky
performance at Maryland. As impressive as FSU was against NCSU, the schedule
does them no favors from here on out – and that includes Miami this week, who
is vastly overrated. The ‘Noles have to keep winning and winning big to justify
this ranking. I think they will Saturday night. Even if they win out, it
probably won’t be enough if the Tide and Ducks do the same. Which would only
give the BCS one more chance to hurt us on the way out the door.
2) Alabama
Alabama proved they too can annihilate Tennessee, so…
take that, Oregon? In all seriousness, the Crimson Tide’s schedule has been
something of a joke since the win at Texas A&M (and I’m including Ole Miss
in that assessment). With a bye before facing LSU, they won’t get a chance to
improve it until the second week of November. As the SEC’s last stand against a
horde of challengers looking to end the conference’s title streak, this team
must continue to play exceptional defense, something that has vanished from the
league this season. LSU is no pushover.
3) Oregon
The Ducks got easily the best win of the weekend but failed
to move up. This is a matter of consistency. Despite what the rankings and
pundits have said about UCLA, I know what I’ve been watching the past few
weeks. The Bruins are pretenders. I’ve said it since the Utah game. Oregon
proved it Saturday, snuffing out an utterly inept UCLA offense and road-grading
their talented defensive front into oblivion. Impressive it may have been, but
a win against an elite team it was not. The Ducks will stay here pending the
result of the Stanford game. Win that and we’ll revisit the matter.
4) Ohio State
No, Penn State’s no world-beater, but the Nittany Lions
aren’t as terrible as OSU made them look. After Northwestern’s free-fall the
Buckeyes badly needed an eye-popping final score to impress pollsters and they
got one. This is important only if two of the three squads ahead of OSU lose,
but the history of the BCS tells us that’s more likely than not. If more than two
teams finish unbeaten the Buckeyes will be left out, as they should, but all
they can do at this point is play the teams on their schedule. Considering the
caliber of competition it would very surprising to see them lose.
5) Stanford
A road win over a decent team in Oregon State moves the
Cardinal back into the top five. The Beavers aren’t brilliant but they’re miles
better than anyone Baylor has played. Clemson’s struggles in victory also made
this an easy choice. Next up is Oregon. Both teams get a long layoff before the
Thursday matchup in Palo Alto, so Stanford will need to work on several things.
Quarterback Kevin Hogan was again average in Corvallis. To beat the Ducks, he
needs to return to his form in last year’s game, when he aggravated the UO
defense with his running and passing. Eight completions won’t cut it.
6) Clemson
I’m starting to have some doubts about Clemson, who hasn’t
played a great game in nearly a month and hasn’t looked good against a quality
opponent since the opener with Georgia. That win still has power, but its resonance
will fade as the season moves along. The Tigers took a long time to put
Maryland away, which should be an FSU hangover but very well could be a sign of
something more. It’s hard to tell when a team gets its confidence shattered
like Clemson did last week. Fortunately, this squad doesn’t face the more
difficult ACC schedule of the ‘Noles and should be able right the ship in the
coming games.
7) LSU
I take absolutely no stock in the close halftime score with
Furman. I’ve been watching LSU for a long time and the Tigers do this every
year: in a mid-to-late-season game against a mid-major/FCS opponent, they mess
around for two (or three) quarters and eventually drop 30 straight to win going
away. This was just the 2013 version. After playing nine straight weeks to open
the season this team deserves a break. They get an official one this week
before traveling to Alabama. Can they win that game? Absolutely. Will they? Not
if Zach Mettenberger plays the way he did in the last game that mattered (Ole
Miss).
8) Oklahoma
OU bounced back from that bizarre thrashing at the hands of
Texas and still has a prime chance at taking the Big 12. The Sooners
technically don’t control their own destiny because UT is undefeated, but come
on. Nobody expects the Longhorns to run the table. The conference somehow
managed to schedule all the games matching contenders in the back third of the
year, so November is going to see some fireworks. Next up for OU: undefeated
Baylor on (next) Thursday night. Both teams have a lot at stake, but Oklahoma
is the only one of the two that’s been battle-tested.
9) Missouri
This still feels high for the Tigers, but how can you punish
them for being the better team for the first 50 minutes? It took an unthinkable
meltdown for Mizzou to suffer its initial loss, complete with blown coverages
and fluky errors. This team still controls its own destiny in the SEC East,
though I’ll be honest, I don’t expect a win over A&M in the finale. That
means every Tigers fan is secretly rooting for a South Carolina loss… which
might not happen. With just two conference games to play, Florida is the only
real obstacle for the Gamecocks. And how much of an obstacle is that?
10) Baylor
As I said several weeks ago, it would take a miracle to
prevent Baylor from reaching 7-0. They did, though it was close against Kansas
State. That’s the problem; the Wildcats are the only one of the Bears’
opponents even approaching “competent,” which doesn’t instill confidence. I do
think Baylor is good, as they’ve been doing what good teams should do against
bad competition: blow them out. But the parade of clowns this team has trotted
out to get plastered every week pales in comparison to the better teams in the
Big 12. Baylor doesn’t deserve to be ranked in the top five, or really even the
top 10. If they can get by Oklahoma and OSU, that will change.
11) Auburn
A blowout of FAU doesn’t tell us much and nothing else that
happened in the SEC was interesting enough to shake the standings. Auburn gets
to rise a little based on nothing more than a team-by-team comparison, which is
ultimately how a lot of subjective ranking gets resolved. There’s also the
“improvement” angle – even ignoring the walkover of the Owls, the Tigers have looked
markedly better than they did in the close win over WSU to start the year. Part
of that is a series of defenses that don’t comprise a murderer’s row, true, but
you have to give this team a little credit.
12) Texas Tech
I expected TTU to lose at some point, so perhaps it’s better
to get it out of the way on the road. Shootouts with Baylor and Oklahoma State
remain, so there’s plenty of time to regain the Big 12 lead and make a trip to
the BCS. Coming back home will help, but Okie State is waiting so the Red
Raiders better be ready. I don’t think there’s any reason they can’t win this
mess of a conference. However, a lack of success historically – Tech has never
won the Big 12 – naturally makes me hesitant to pick them to complete that run.
13) Miami (FL)
Let’s get right down to it. Does anyone else expect FSU to
smoke this team? I was high on Miami early after the win over Florida, but the
Gators’ semi-collapse and the Hurricanes’ general mediocrity have made short
work of that. After back-to-back escapes against very average competition, I’d
guess upwards of 90 percent of the country thinks seventh is a vastly inflated
ranking for Miami. On the road against the Seminoles, it’s hard to see how they
have a shot. The offense has struggled mightily the past couple weeks and the
defense hasn’t seen anyone like Jameis Winston all year.
14) Oklahoma State
After a gangbusters start against Iowa State the Cowboys
suddenly found themselves in a tight game midway through the third quarter. Not
to worry, though; OSU rattled off 24 straight to blow the game open again and
stay alive for a Big 12 title. Now, the fact that ISU managed to score 27
should probably be a red flag, but Okie State has never really been about
defense. This week’s duel with Texas Tech in Lubbock ought to be quite
entertaining, as neither squad can afford another conference loss. OSU is
probably more talented, but I’m very nervous about their shaky QB situation.
15) South Carolina
Welcome back, Carolina. It only took two months, but you
finally decided to show up for the 2013 season. That may seem like a strange
way to look at this team, but it’s really the most accurate. The Gamecocks
sleepwalked through losses to Georgia and Tennessee and even wins against North
Carolina, UCF and Kentucky. Will this team finally start playing like it wants
to win an SEC title? QB Connor Shaw’s fourth-quarter/OT relief effort at Mizzou
was one of the gutsiest performances I’ve seen in a long time. If that doesn’t
inspire this squad, nothing will.
16) UCF
It seems only fitting that the team who handed the Knights
their only blemish (by three) should sit one spot above them. UCF leapt back
into the national consciousness after that comeback victory at Louisville and
made sure there was no doubt by manhandling hapless Connecticut Saturday. If
this squad gets past Houston in the next AAC game, look out. It’s quite
possible they could be playing in a BCS bowl. The Cougars are no pushover, but
their strength is offense and UCF allows less than 20 points per game. With an
extra week to get ready for the stretch run, the Knights are in great
position.
17) Louisville
The fact that there are even two AAC teams ranked this
season should be enough to make the conference giddy, but the shine was taken
off the league’s BCS bid when Louisville went down. Like it or not, the
Cardinals were the AAC’s shining star and sexiest pick. It’s less impressive
when a first-year school that started FBS football in 1996 comes in and blows
everyone’s doors off. Still, Louisville did its part Saturday, trouncing USF to
crawl closer to UCF in the hope of a backdoor conference title. To be honest,
an at-large bid is more likely, but who in their right mind would select a
second AAC team?
18) Texas A&M
A&M predictably crushed Vandy, which continues the
Aggies’ trend this season of destroying all the bad teams they play and
struggling with the good ones. I’m still not sure if this team is much good –
how long can they ride that close loss to Alabama, anyway? The best win was a
squeaker over Ole Miss when the Rebels let A&M off the hook. With UTEP and
lowly Mississippi State on the docket this team isn’t about to lose but that
still says nothing about them. We won’t really know until the final two games
with LSU and Missouri.
19) UCLA
You can say the Bruins “played Oregon close,” but at some
point the spin becomes a little sad. The only team that had any business being
on the same field as Oregon in Eugene was Oregon. Aside from some early success
with inside runs UCLA could do nothing offensively. The defense played well and
dropped a few cheap shots that should have been flagged, but once UO adjusted it got scorched, too. It was a poor effort by a team I’ve been saying for
weeks isn’t close to great. For the Bruins to turn this around and contend for
the Pac-12 title they’ll need a lot more than what they showed Saturday.
20) Wisconsin
The Badgers had a bye after clobbering Illinois and now get
one of their two remaining road games at Iowa (the other is Minnesota). BYU no
longer looks like a gimme, but I’m still fairly confident this team can make
the push to finish 10-2. Joel Stave hasn’t made anyone forget Russell Wilson at
QB, but he’s been a lot better than what Bucky trotted out last year. Melvin
Gordon probably doesn’t get enough respect as one of the nation’s top five
running backs and the defense is allowing a very respectable 17 points a game.
How costly might that ASU officiating snafu be?
21) Michigan State
I know they haven’t played any good offenses, but… how can
you not respect this D? The Spartans are giving up only 215 yards per game.
That’s nearly 30 yards better than the second-best team! They’re so good they
allow the terrible MSU offense time to plod down the field and score a couple times a
game – which is usually enough to win. During Saturday’s stomping of Illinois, the
announcers showed the stat that nearly half of all drives against the
Spartans in 2013 end in a three-and-out. That’s amazing. I can’t wait to see
them in action against Michigan’s Devin Gardner.
22) Fresno State
The mid-major duo remained static this week as several AQ-squads
notched decent wins. Fresno survived by less than the skin of its teeth,
blocking a game-winning field goal attempt as time expired and shutting down
San Diego State in OT. It was a gut-check type of game several high-ranked
potential BCS busters have lost over the years. Still, it doesn’t mean the
Bulldogs are ready for prime time; rather, it showed they still have a ways to
go to think about getting to and then actually competing in the BCS. As it
stands now, Fresno looks more likely to get blown out a la Hawai’i and NIU.
23) Northern Illinois
Another week, another directional Michigan down… obviously,
I’m not too impressed with the Huskies. That’s the problem you have when your
best opponent is Iowa and you nearly lose to an FCS school. The Huskies remain
a high-scoring, up-tempo lot, but the memory of the Orange Bowl stall out is
still too relevant to afford this team any true respect. I’m all for the
underdog, but you have to do something that 30 AQ-conference teams couldn’t if
you want a modicum of credibility. Fresno got theirs with victories over Rutgers and
Boise State. Unimpressive as those wins are, they’re better than any NIU can
boast.
24) Michigan
Do I really have Michigan ranked? What’s going on here? The
fact that the Wolverines got a bye before facing rival MSU can only help. Given
that the game’s in East Lansing, though, I’d say it’s a wash. UM’s train wreck
potential against the Spartans’ fearsome defense is off the charts this week,
so you should tune it for that alone. With that said, it’s not as if Michigan
doesn’t have a chance. It could turn out that MSU’s numbers were the result of
a weak schedule. The Spartans’ ugly offense could make this close. You never
know.
25) Notre Dame
Wins over Arizona State and Michigan State keep the Fighting
Irish in the top 25 and in outside contention for a BCS bowl. Losses to
Michigan and Oklahoma hurt the cause, although Michigan certainly isn’t
terrible. I’d say ND’s biggest threat is itself; the team has looked quite good
at times this season but just inept at others. They’re not overly impressive on
either side of the ball but scrap out close games and beat bad teams. You could
do a lot worse than Tommy Rees at QB and the young skill players have looked pretty
good in recent weeks.
Pac-12 Report
Clearly, Travis Wilson’s finger is giving him trouble. But
19-3? Come on, Utah. At this rate the Utes won’t even qualify for a bowl. That
is not what the conference needs from the team who gave Stanford its first
loss. USC, on the other hand, keeps nobly battling through roster decimation
and is alive in the South. The NCAA’s decision to deny the Trojans sanction
relief is devastating and cruel based on that alone, but how about when you
factor in the Miami ruling? More on that later.
So, Oregon’s really good, in case you didn’t know. As with
the Washington game, the Ducks look like they were pushed, but in reality they
were anything but. UO racked up another gigantic yardage advantage and could
have easily beat UCLA by 40 if not for several sloppy mistakes. The Bruins’ two
TD drives traveled a total of 66 yards and required 13 plays. They gained 94
yards in the second half and had 64 yards passing in the entire game. UCLA’s
longest play traveled 14 yards. Quite frankly, this was an embarrassment to the
conference. It was clear the high ranking was a lie when Stanford took this
team to the woodshed, but an offensive performance that inept was stunning.
The thing was, Oregon didn’t do anything crazy. The Ducks
kept guys back in coverage and allowed UCLA some decent interior runs in the
first half. As soon as the Bruins tried to pass the game was over. It was like
a repeat of the Fiesta Bowl against Kansas State, when the Wildcats’ offense
got exposed – except worse. Defensively, UCLA did a little better, but even the
halftime and third-quarter scores were deceptive. Oregon fumbled on the five
and turned the ball over on downs in UCLA territory, errors the Bruins did not
force. UCLA didn’t look like they belonged in the same stratosphere as the
Ducks. Even though I wasn’t expecting much from the visitors, this was shameful.
Arizona put up a decent performance against Colorado
befitting a mid-tier Pac-12 team. The Buffaloes gave a game effort for two-plus
quarters, but ultimately succumbed to the Wildcats’ superior athletes. It was
still a heartening job for CU, who last year saw ‘Zona run roughshod over them.
Colorado’s slim chance at a bowl is now gone, but baby steps are acceptable.
Meanwhile, Arizona has quietly crept to 2-2 in conference play and 5-2 overall.
B.J. Denker is still not a good passer, but he showed enough improvement the
last two games that he’s no longer an embarrassment. With a win over Cal this
week the Wildcats will become bowl-eligible and the rest of the schedule
doesn’t look quite as daunting as it once did.
I’d like to end with Stanford – OSU, so here’s a quick recap
of the Cal – Washington game: Cal gave up a ton of points again. Cal did not
score very many points again. UW picked the perfect team to end their skid
against. Unfortunately for the Golden Bears, this is starting to look
suspiciously like an 0-9 season in league play. That does help the conference
overall because almost everyone gets one more win, but ouch. You thought it was
bad at the end of the Tedford era? I haven’t seen Cal look this terrible since
Tom Holmoe. They might be historically bad.
Enough with the depressing stuff. Stanford beat Oregon State
20-12 Saturday night and the Cardinal looked both far superior and eminently
equal to the Beavers in this game. In short, it was exactly what I expected.
How is this possible? Let me explain.
There is zero doubt – none – that Stanford is a better team
than Oregon State. While the Beavers were piling up wins over Cal, WSU and
Colorado, the Cardinal were cutting their teeth on Washington, Utah and UCLA.
OSU’s winning streak had more to do with the quality of their competition than
the Beavs “figuring everything out.” Stanford knew that Oregon State knew the
Beavers had no chance of running the ball, so they mercilessly pressured Sean
Mannion while keeping the entire coverage slanted to Brandin Cooks. Both
players had subpar nights against the only good defense they’ve seen all year.
Stanford also erased the cheap yards OSU loves to pick up on their myriad
screen passes by simply letting their superior athletes fly up from anywhere in
the back seven.
And yet there’s a reason OSU had the ball inside the 10 with
a chance to tie the game in the final seconds. Despite Stanford’s excellence in
several areas and their obvious physical advantages, the Cardinal could never
quite shake the Beavers. Oregon State dominated time of possession (strange
against Stanford) and had moderate success dinking and dunking down the field.
The Beavers sold out to stop the run, banking on Kevin Hogan inability to beat
them downfield (or anywhere). The strategy worked, as Hogan completed just
eight of 18 passes. And so against the odds, OSU found themselves on the
doorstep with less than a minute left… only to join the excruciating ranks of
teams in the past few years who have said, “HOW did we lose to Stanford?”
The truth is probably that Stanford just isn’t that good.
Great athletes, scary defense, but the offense is even worse than last season.
Looking ahead, there is no way they should be able to beat Oregon, who is
clearly the better team. But as I always say, the better team doesn’t always
win, and this isn’t about being the better team anyway. Oregon was the better
team last year. Stanford won the game. The Cardinal have been specifically designed
to attack the Ducks. Their offense is designed to chew clock and keep UO off
the field. Their defense is based on winning the one-on-one matchups Oregon
likes to exploit. It’s not about which team is better overall. It’s about which
team plays better for three hours on one day.
With both Oregon and Stanford off this week the Pac-12 will
take a bit of a backseat nationally (especially after two top-25 showdowns in
the state of Oregon last week). There’s still potential for a lot of good
football out west if things break right. First up is the Thursday night matchup
of Arizona State at WSU. This is a fascinating series. ASU is no doubt the
better team, but beware the Sun Devils in Pullman. Maybe it’s the weather
shock, maybe it’s the long trip, but ASU does not play well at Washington
State. The scores from the last decade between these two are telling:
In Tempe
46-7 ASU (2012)
42-0 ASU (2010)
31-0 ASU (2008)
47-14 ASU (2006)
45-28 ASU
(2004)
In Pullman
37-27 WSU (2011)
27-14 ASU (2009)
23-20 ASU (2007)
27-24 ASU (2005)
Wazzu only won one game, but keep in mind that those Cougars
teams the past five seasons were among the worst the conference has ever seen,
if not the worst, period. The Sun Devils have a lot of trouble on the road in
this series. When I made my preseason predictions I marked this as a WSU upset.
It’s a crucial contest for both teams as the Cougs need wins to reach bowl
eligibility and ASU has to stay afloat in the South race. I’m not going to call
for the upset flat-out this week, but at the very least ASU is on upset alert.
The Friday matchup is no less interesting as USC visits its
personal house of horrors at Oregon State. The state of Oregon has not been
kind to the Trojans of late; only a three-point win at Oregon in 2011 keeps
them from being winless at the Ducks’ and Beavers’ stadiums since 2005. Twice
in the last decade (2006 and 2008) USC had championship seasons derailed in
Corvallis and the last visit in 2010 (and last meeting between the teams) was
an absolute disgrace (Again! Why not?!) as the 20th-ranked Trojans were blown out 36-7
by a Beavers squad that finished 5-7. OSU is currently favored by five and that
probably isn’t enough. Despite getting somewhat exposed by Stanford, the Beavs
should be able to handle whatever meager offensive threat SC can muster. The
Trojans’ battered roster has fought well recently but this is too much to ask.
Arizona at Cal is a game that deserves little write-up. The
Wildcats will abuse poor Cal’s defense with their read-option game en route to
something like 400 yards rushing. The Golden Bears will toss the ball around a
bunch and pick up a decent amount of yards but very few points. That’s how it’s
gone for Cal in every conference game this year. I don’t see much changing this
week, as ‘Zona can get to bowl eligibility with a win and Cal has very little
to play for at this point. And at the nice new Memorial Stadium, too. Pity.
UCLA could have gone the way of Washington after suffering
spankings of differing severity from the Pac-12’s top dogs, but
fortunately for the Bruins they get to come home and face Colorado rather than
anyone capable of beating them. The Buffaloes put up a nice fight against
Arizona last week but are probably overmatched in this game. Unless UCLA is
even more overrated than we thought, they’ll pound the ball down Colorado’s
throat and Brett Hundley will look like a competent QB for the first time in
weeks. The Buffs might be able to hang around for a half, but they just don’t
have the firepower on offense or athleticism on D to match the Bruins.
Heisman Watch
Same deal. Same two guys. No one else need apply.
Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon
Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State
Random Thoughts and Observations
I thought the “punishment” handed down to Miami (FL) was
fair, not because the Hurricanes weren’t clearly in the wrong, but because the
NCAA took far too long to make its case and ultimately botched it on several
levels. Miami should have been docked several scholarships and hit with a bowl
ban – in 2010. But after three years and a pair of self-imposed bowl-bans from
the school (one of which kept the ‘Canes out of the 2012 ACC title game), it
was time to move on. There would have been no value in a death sentence,
literal or otherwise, at this point.
Of course, USC is rightfully furious over the decision. The
NCAA’s sanctions against the Trojans seemed reasonable at the time they were
handed down, but that was before Ohio State got off with a single-year bowl ban
and Oregon and Miami escaped with slaps on the wrist. How can you possibly
justify a two-year bowl ban and ten scholarships a year now? There’s no way.
Then, to add further insult to injury, the NCAA granted Penn State “relief”
from its sanctions after a single year of good behavior. That decision was
shaky in itself – one year of playing nice erases a decade of corruption? – but
the coup de grace was how the NCAA immediately turned around and denied USC
relief, despite the Trojans’ petitioning on behalf of player safety. The
organization’s actions at this point can only be viewed as a vendetta against
the USC program and confirmation that recent rule changes for “safety concerns”
are a sham.
I’ve heard a lot of talk in the past month about Heisman
candidates. Everyone has someone on their list who “isn’t getting enough
credit.” For the most part, this pontificating is cheap ratings-grabbing. The
reason most players aren’t higher on Heisman lists is because there are exactly
two guys who deserve to be in the discussion at this point. Alabama’s A.J.
McCarron and Oregon State’s Sean Mannion are perfect examples. It’s laughable
when pundits say these players are being “disrespected.” They’re both getting
EXACTLY the level of respect they deserve – as good but not elite players.
Mannion had his moment Saturday against Stanford. He didn’t
perform. He wasn’t bad, but he couldn’t match his season averages. That’s
because Stanford was the first top-75 defense OSU has played this season. It’s
not surprising Mannion’s production dipped. McCarron’s situation is a little
more nebulous because he hasn’t lost yet. But anyone who watches football knows
the difference between a QB who carries his team and a QB that doesn’t. There’s
zero pressure on McCarron to perform. He plays with a host of future draft
picks, unlike Mannion. That doesn’t mean he isn’t good, because he is. So is
Mannion, but neither is a transcendent player and attempts to pump them up to
be so cheapen the discussion.
Logan Thomas was oh-so-close to moving back into a tie for
first with his second Stanzi, but the Hokies’ triggerman couldn’t pull out the
win despite his four interceptions. On a related note, this is why Stanzis are
a big deal – it’s really hard to win when you turn the ball over all the time.
Still, Thomas’ loss was our gain, as he and Duke QB Anthony Boone combined for
a hilarious eight interceptions in the third straight Double Stanzi game this
season. Winners and standings follow.
Anthony Boone, Duke
Opponent: Virginia Tech
Performance: Four INT, led clock-killing drive to end game
Devin Powell, Tulane
Opponent: Tulsa
Performance: Two INT, threw game-winning TD pass
2013 Stanzi Awards
Devin Gardner, Michigan: 2
Keith Wenning, Ball State: 2
Anthony Boone, Duke: 1
Stephen Morris, Miami (FL): 1
Taysom Hill, BYU: 1
Connor Wood, Colorado: 1
Logan Thomas, Virginia Tech: 1
Braxton Miller, Ohio State: 1
Corey Robinson, Troy: 1
Johnny Manziel, Texas A&M: 1
Christian Hackenberg, Penn State: 1
Jake Heaps, Kansas: 1
Gary Nova, Rutgers: 1
Trevone Boykin, TCU: 1
Brett Hundley, UCLA: 1
Devin Powell, Tulane: 1
Connor Halliday, WSU: 1
A.J. Doyle, Massachusetts: 1
Justin Worley, Tennessee: 1
Taylor Heinicke, Old Dominion: 1
Terrel Hunt, Syracuse: 1
After nine weeks, the Devins lead the pack with a total of
three Stanzis, with the Connors and Keiths tied at two and everyone else at
one. I don’t know how I feel about that.
On a play-calling note, Oregon State coach Mike Riley was
predictably lambasted by second-guessers who said his decision to go for it on
five fourth downs (converting only once) was the reason the Beavers lost to Stanford. That’s
ridiculous. Of OSU’s four failed conversion attempts, three could have instead been
field goals (the last was the incompletion that ended the game). They
were, in order, a fourth-and-three from the Stanford 18, a fourth-and-one from
the Stanford 34 and a fourth-and-five from the Stanford 35. Oregon State would
have needed all three of those to be successful field goals to win the game and
two would have been from more than 50 yards. The chances of going
three-for-three are not good.
Moreover, the Beavers should have been able to convert those
short-yardage downs. OSU averages more than six yards per play on the season
and averaged about four yards per play in this game. That means at least two of
the three conversions was more likely than not to work. Riley’s decision to go
for it multiple times, far from hurting his team, actually showed confidence in
his offense. He was playing to win the game and didn’t want to settle for long
field goals. Every team should want a coach like that.
Next week: nothing very definite gets decided. Oregon,
Alabama, LSU, Baylor, Stanford and Oklahoma are all idle. That’s six of the top
thirteen teams in the BCS. Unless there are some upsets, this could be the
season’s nadir.
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