What a fun weekend. No dearth of quality games this time, no
sir. Some questions were answered and some new ones were asked, such as, “Is
Georgia really this bad?” and “How can the Big Ten have zero good teams?” It
was an action-packed Saturday with tight finishes and statements made.
First, to the SEC, where the two top-10 matchups took place.
Florida
showed up big time at home and, as many people thought they might, upset LSU.
This wasn’t exactly shocking given how bad the Tigers have looked of late, but
it was still clearly an upset. How a team like LSU, with NFL-quality players
all over the place, can be this weak offensively I’ll never understand. As I’ve
said recently, we now know why Zach Mettenberger didn’t play last season. He’s
awful, just like the past several iterations of LSU signal-callers.
For Florida ,
it caps a surprising start to the season, albeit one that began with sluggish
performances in the first two games. The Gators still lack playmakers on
offense, yet teams can sometimes win in college football with a strong defense
and a reliable running game. That’s where the team’s lone elite (offensive)
talent, RB Mike Gillislee, resides. Will it be enough to beat South Carolina ? I doubt it. But Florida has improved a
great deal.
The other SEC showdown was a slight disappointment. I had
entertained the notion that Georgia
was overrated – their defense certainly seemed mediocre – but I wasn’t
expecting the clobbering South
Carolina delivered Saturday night. Obviously, the
Bulldogs are not a top-10 team. Obviously, the Gamecocks are a top-five team.
That rankles me after my harsh reaction to their near-loss in the opener
against Vandy, but they’ve gotten better in every aspect of the game since that
night. Quarterback Connor Shaw has looked more comfortable every week and the
defense is, of course, scary.
There were still other revelations this past week. Florida State fell victim to the FSU virus, a
nasty bug that makes good teams lose to inferior foes. Seminoles, we hardly
knew ye. Notre Dame slammed the lid on the explosive offense of Miami (FL),
proving yet again that the Irish defense is for real. Ohio
State put to rest any doubt that they
are the Big Ten’s only decent team by manhandling Nebraska . And, oh yes, West
Virginia responded in a huge way against Texas ’ strong defense.
The significance of what happened in Austin can’t be overstated. In their first
road game of the season and first-ever Big 12 road game, the Mountaineers came
up big. They won their way, outscoring the Longhorns and holding UT off long
enough to get the win. That’s an important development in this still-young
season. The road ahead is far from easy, but the first hurdle has been cleared.
Next up: The Red River Shootout (I’ll call it that ‘til the
day I die) and a pair of potential upsets in Louisville
– Pitt and Kansas State – Iowa
State lead the day. Later
on, West Virginia hits the road again in
another possible shootout with Texas Tech and Oregon State
goes to BYU in a game with red-alert upset potential. USC also plays at nemesis
Washington and South Carolina and LSU meet in another
top-10 battle for both teams. The nightcap is in Shreveport , where top-25 opponents Texas
A&M and Louisiana Tech could hit a hundred points combined. Not as good
overall as last week, but there’s fun to be had.
Top 25
It’s worth noting that yes, I gave Michigan State a ringing
endorsement just before the Spartans escaped near-certain doom against a
terrible Indiana team. They’re gone. I was impressed enough with Florida to jump them up,
but I left the Gators out of the top five because I’m still not sure. LSU might
just be overrated. South Carolina
can tell us this week.
1) Alabama
Back after a bye, rested and ready to continue Mizzou’s SEC
misery. This could get ugly real quick. The Tigers don’t have nearly the line
or the skill players to challenge the Crimson Tide defense and their own D is
shoddy at best. Did I mention that they’ll be without QB James Franklin?
Complacency is all that keeps this from being a blowout.
2) Oregon
Probably the most complete win of the season as the Ducks
knocked another Pac-12 opponent out of the top 25. There’s a lot of speed and
not just on the offense, which still seems slightly fuzzy. UO’s back seven (or
eight, as scheme dictates) feed on must-throw situations and force a lot of
turnovers. That could be key in the second half of the season.
3) South Carolina
They came, they saw… oh man. Even with the healthy amount of
respect I had for the Gamecocks’ defense, they managed to surprise me. Say what
you will about Georgia ’s
defense, but that offense is high-end and Carolina
shut them down. Another big test this week against LSU; win this one and all
that’s left to threaten this squad is Florida .
4) West Virginia
I can’t say enough about that Texas win. Very, very impressive. Geno Smith
delivered again, the defense made plays when it mattered and the offense just
did its thing. If WVU can survive the next couple of weeks, it may be time to
realistically start thinking about exorcizing the demons of 2007.
5) Kansas
State
The Wildcats led rival Kansas by only a touchdown at halftime
Saturday and I wondered if K-State was about to get exposed. Then they went on
a rampage in the second half, outscoring KU 35-0 (the only Jayhawks points came
on a safety) and looking every bit like the top-five team we’ve come to know.
The Big 12’s mega-showdown of the year comes against West Virginia in two weeks.
6) Florida
In a perfect world Florida
would have moved up to number five, but I have doubts about LSU. If the Tigers
lose again to South Carolina
this week, this ranking will be accurate. For now, the Gators should be content
with the fact that they’re winning without much of an offense.
7) Notre Dame
It wasn’t the margin against the Hurricanes, it was the single
field goal allowed. Miami (FL) had led the entire country in scoring the
previous two weeks, so seeing that three on the scoreboard was pretty stunning.
The Fighting Irish still have a ton of issues offensively, true. The defense,
on the other hand, is magnificent.
8) USC
Lost in the 10-point final margin was the comedy of errors
the Trojans made against Utah
in the first three minutes Thursday night. After that point SC won going away,
38-14. I don’t think they can hang for a full game with Oregon , but that’s true about a lot of
teams. They should still win the South, which is a starting point.
9) LSU
A little bit of a charity grade this week. Would you trust
the Tigers’ offense against South
Carolina ’s D? But if we’re going to say Florida is a top-five
squad, then maybe LSU isn’t really so bad. If the Gamecocks come out and blast
another top-10 opponent, we’ll know we’ve been duped on this team.
10) Florida
State
As with LSU, a slight bump from where the Seminoles probably
deserve to be ranked. However, FSU a) lost by one, b) on the road and c) played
poorly doing so. There’s also the glaring fact that although Oregon State
has had a charmed season thus far, there is NO WAY the Beavers are a top-10
team.
11) Oregon
State
This has to be OSU’s ceiling. It’s been nice, but with
starting QB Sean Mannion now out, it’s time to think realistically. This game
at BYU would have been trouble at full strength. Now we’re talking on the road
against that defense with a backup at QB? Not to mention OSU’s historic
problems out of conference on the road. It would be a minor shock if the
Beavers won this week.
12) Ohio
State
The Buckeyes are an interesting case. You look at how the
offense functions and it seems as if there’s no way they should put up the
points they do. You look at the defense and, quite frankly, get underwhelmed compared
to previous seasons. Yet when you look at the schedule, it’s hard to circle a
game this team will lose. The Big Ten is down, but this is crazy year.
13) Oklahoma
As I said after the KSU loss, this week is what OU has been
waiting for: a chance to put the naysayers in their places and return to Big 12
relevancy. The Sooners got back to business this week against Texas Tech and
can continue their drive back to the BCS if they play a complete game against
the Longhorns. They have to show up for four quarters, though.
14) Texas
Evenly matched rivals? That’s the best kind of college
football game. I wasn’t completely sold on UT, as seen by my number 11 ranking last
week, but they’re still a solid young team with a tough defense. That D needs
to take the lesson WVU delivered last week to heart if they want to knock off Oklahoma , which they
have the ability to do.
15) Georgia
Oh, Georgia .
What was it I said in the preseason? Something about how last year’s 10 wins
were a mirage, an inflated total against bad teams? Well, Saturday certainly
held that to be true. The Bulldogs had no rhythm and no chance against the
elite Carolina
defense. Fortunately, Florida
is the only other team on the schedule with that talent level.
16) Clemson
Another decent win, though these high-scoring games have to
leave Tigers fans a little worried. Where’s the defense? The offense isn’t
always going to score 40 points. Clemson should know that better than most
teams after the way they played in the second half of last season.
17 Stanford
Rest assured, if I’d had room to drop Stanford, I would
have. The Cardinal’s been very bad at different things in the past two weeks.
Against Arizona
it was defense, as the Wildcats romped to 48 points (and still somehow managed
to give the game away). Stanford is 4-1 but that record isn’t fooling anybody.
18) Texas
A&M
I’m skeptical of this squad’s wins, but if Florida really is a great team that
three-point loss in the opener is pretty good. As far as mid-majors go, LTU is
a great test this week. The Bulldogs let it fly on offense, so we’ll get a
chance to see if the Aggie defense is SEC-caliber.
19) Boise
State
Good win over Southern Miss with an explosive Fresno team on the way. Boise should win this
game – I feel the Broncos’ athletes are still a bit much for the Bulldogs to
handle – but if this turns into a shootout you never know. In general I’ve
found BSU to be a little less than crisp this year, which is understandable
given all the player turnover.
20) Louisville
I really hope for the Big East’s sake that Louisville used the week off to figure some
things out. The Cardinals opened the season with 10 very good quarters and have
followed that with 10 very average ones. The conference race starts now and
Pitt has proven to be a dangerous (if wildly inconsistent) foe.
21) Oklahoma
State
Just 2-2 and sitting on a bye, but I had them in my poll
last week and I see no reason why they should drop out. The two losses (at Arizona and Texas )
are both respectable and the schedule is about as breezy as the Big 12 allows,
which should put less pressure on the team in the back half of the season. This
ain’t over for the Cowboys by a long shot.
22) Rutgers
I will include the Scarlet Knights this week, even though I
feel the same way about them as I do Cincinnati
and Mississippi State . All three teams are 5-0 and none
has played a single above-average opponent. The difference right now is that Rutgers is giving up only 10 points a game.
23) Arizona
State
ASU is, in all likelihood, going to beat Colorado this week. That means the Sun
Devils will be ranked when they host Oregon
next Thursday. Do they have a shot? Hard to say. ASU has been so much better at
home that anything is possible. For now they need to focus on the Buffs,
though. Just ask Washington
State .
24) Louisiana
Tech
LTU and Ohio
are the last two mid-majors left standing, as far as BCS chances go. I went
with the Bulldogs over the Bobcats because the former have been a bit more
impressive to this point. This week Tech hosts Texas A&M in a chance to get
a program-defining win. The Aggies must be new to this SEC thing – you’re not
supposed to go on the road to play out of conference. For shame!
25) Iowa
State
A win over a then-ranked TCU team and a 4-1 record. It’s
enough for now. A loss to KSU this week would drop the Cyclones right back out
of the polls, but they’ve got a few things going for them. The game is in Ames , a notoriously windy
and difficult place for visitors. ISU is a scrappy bunch and the defense is
surprisingly stout, giving up fewer than 16 points per game. We’ll see if
they’re for real.
Pac-12 Report
First, let’s get the craziest story out of the way. What has
Cal been
doing all season and what was with the Bears Saturday night? That was the Cal team I envisioned in
my (sadly over-optimistic) preseason predictions. An efficient offense that
takes advantage of its playmakers, a defense capable of locking teams down and
a quality home-field advantage – why can’t this team play like that all the
time? Cal has
become one of the nation’s biggest enigmas, though you have to hope that a game
with Wazzu this week will be the perfect thing to build confidence. Of course,
it could also serve as a devastating step back that gets the Cougars back on
track. We’ll have to watch to find out.
UCLA faces a crossroads of its own. Though a 4-2 start still
has to be considered a positive, the 1-2 conference record bodes ill for the
future. All of the next four games are winnable, but the last two (USC and
Stanford) are probably out of this team’s reach. That makes getting a win
against Utah
this week critical. The next game is ASU, with the loser likely eliminated from
the South race. I’m looking forward to that matchup.
The game of the past week was, no contest, Arizona at Stanford. I’m still at a loss to
understand how the Wildcats gave up a 14-point fourth-quarter lead when they
rolled up 600 yards and 48 points. Unfortunately, that can happen when you
allow Josh Nunes to have a career game. No disrespect to the Cardinal QB, but I
thought what this game really proved was that Stanford isn’t that good. They’ll
get a chance to prove me wrong in the second half of the year.
Meanwhile, ‘Zona has to be distraught. At .500 and 0-3 in
conference, the ‘Cats are one or two plays away from being 5-1 and ranked in
the top 15. This is certainly not a bad team, though the defense definitely needs
to play better if they hope to make the postseason. There’s only one guaranteed
victory (Colorado )
in the final six games.
The Huskies are just lacking players on offense. The defense
has improved, but not enough to cover the void. The bad news is that the
schedule from here on out isn’t easy. The good news is that even if UW falls to
USC at home this week – a trip that has been truly horrifying for the Trojans
of late – they’ll still be ahead of my preseason prediction of a 2-4 start.
SC had an awful first few minutes in Salt Lake City Thursday, then gradually
ground the Utes into submission. I’m not ready to pronounce this squad a true
rival for Oregon , but the Trojans can
certainly build to that point in the next couple of weeks, provided they erase
some bad memories against Washington
on Saturday.
The big stories this week, though, will come from teams
playing nonconference foes. Oregon
State is visiting BYU and
Stanford will face Notre Dame on the road. To be honest, I’d be surprised if
either Pac-12 school won. BYU was going to be dicey even if OSU was healthy,
and QB Sean Mannion is out. Now Cody Vaz is facing the nation’s number one
rushing defense, on the road. This just seems like a recipe for disaster. The
best-case scenario outside of a win is to keep everyone healthy.
Stanford’s D will keep them in the game against the anemic
Irish offense, but I really don’t see Nunes having a good game against the
host’s powerful defense. Look for this game to be slow and low-scoring. Even
though this is a game in which the Cardinal have the edge offensively, I don’t
think it will be enough. This week could hurt the conference’s national
reputation.
On the positive side, Arizona
State should beat Colorado
Thursday to jump into the rankings, which will make next Thursday’s showdown
with Oregon
very exciting. Who knows, if Stanford or OSU can eke out a road win we may end
up looking at this weekend very differently.
Heisman Watch
Geno Smith, QB, West
Virginia
All Geno all the time. Mr. Smith tossed another four TD’s
against Texas
without a pick, has completed more than 80 percent of his passes while
INCREASING his yards per attempt (unheard of) and faces no real challengers at
this point. This award has been won on less production than that in a full
season. It’s going to take a collapse for him to fail to win it now.
Random Thoughts and Observations
SPURRIER! The HBC was up to his old (and hilarious) tricks
last week when he uncorked this gem about moving the South Carolina-Georgia
game from its traditional week two placement: “I sort of always liked playing
them that second game because you could always count on them having two or
three key players suspended.” As Jon Stewart might say, “Yo-ho!” Georgia had no
response, because the Bulldogs DID have four players suspended in week two. Tip
o’ the hat to you, Spurrier.
Notre Dame’s special uniforms finally saw the light of day
(or night, as fate would have it) in Chicago
against Miami (FL) this week. Yes, they were just as hideous as we expected. I
won’t link to them, because I’m not a sadist. Whichever designer thought a
washed-out, backwards leprechaun and a 60-40 blue/gold split on the helmets
needs to fired. Immediately.
The NCAA announced today that their sanctions on Boise State
would be upheld, trashing the institution’s credibility even further. It’s
comforting to know that with more pressing issues at dozens of schools around
the country, college football’s governing body could take the time to punish a
mid-major for winning too many games and upsetting the sport’s good ol’ boy
power structure tiny violations.
Next week marks the sort-of kind-of midpoint of the season,
as pretty much everyone will have played six games by then. In other words,
it’s hump week. Time to gather momentum and start careening to the finish line.
No comments:
Post a Comment